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Understanding Trends

Federal Drug Possession Sentences in the Middle District of Tennessee, FY2016–2025

Of the 45 people sentenced for drug possession in the Middle District of Tennessee, fiscal years 2016 to 2024, 39 (87%) received probation only and 6 (13%) received a prison term. A fine was ordered for the same 39 people (87%). Across all 94 federal districts, 68% of people in this offense type wer

Understanding Trends in Military Practice · 6 min read

Trends › Federal Prosecution Analysis › Federal Sentences in the Middle District of Tennessee, FY201 › Drug Possession: Middle District of Tennessee

In brief: Of the 45 people sentenced for drug possession in the Middle District of Tennessee, fiscal years 2016 to 2024, 39 (87%) received probation only and 6 (13%) received a prison term. A fine was ordered for the same 39 people (87%). Across all 94 federal districts, 68% of people in this offense type were sent to prison.

Updated November 4, 2026 · Sources: U.S. Sentencing Commission and Federal Judicial Center, fiscal years 2016–2025

This post uses the U.S. Sentencing Commission's records of 45 people sentenced in federal court in fiscal years 2016 to 2025. Acquittals and dismissals come from a second source, the Federal Judicial Center's records of 753,808 federal defendants whose cases ended in fiscal years 2016 to 2025. It is part of the Federal Prosecution Analysis series, which builds on Military Moves Toward Sentencing Guidelines to Mirror the Federal System. How the numbers were built: How the Federal Comparison Data Was Built.

Probation and Fines Were the Usual Sentence

The U.S. Sentencing Commission counted 45 people in the offense type it labels "Drug Possession." Probation only, with no prison or other confinement, was the sentence for 39 (87%). A fine was ordered for 39 (87%), and restitution for none.

Only 6 people (13%) received a prison term. Across all districts, 68% of people in this offense type went to prison, so the share here is much lower.

These 45 cases were 2% of the 2,879 people sentenced in the district over fiscal years 2016 to 2025.

The Prison Terms That Were Imposed

Among the 6 people sent to prison, the median prison term was 0.1 months. A quarter received 0.4 months or more, and a quarter received 0 months or less. The national median for drug possession was 6 months. For all offenses in this district, the median was 50 months.

The terms in this group are very short, and the group is small. Years with a recorded median in the table are 2019, 2020, and 2022, with medians of 0.1 months, 0 months, and 0.4 months.

Almost All Within the Guideline Range

Position against the guideline range was recorded for 29 people. Of those, 28 (97%) were within the range, and 1 (3%) was below it at the government's request. None were above the range.

Across all districts, 90% of drug possession sentences were within the range. For all offenses in this district, 26% were within the range. Within-range sentences were more common in this group than in the national group.

One Guideline and No Trials

The offense type is assigned from the primary guideline. In this district, 13 cases used §2D2.1 (Unlawful Possession). The Commission's drug possession category is separate from drug trafficking.

All 45 people (100%) pleaded guilty, and none was convicted after a trial. Among the guilty pleas, 87% had a written plea agreement, and 11% were straight pleas. A mandatory minimum prison term applied to 0 of the 41 people with that information recorded.

Supervised Release and Criminal History

Supervised release after prison was ordered for 1 person (2%), with a median term of 12 months. In the criminal history records, 89% were in the lowest category, category I, and 4% were in the highest, category VI. Court-martial records have no criminal history field.

Cases by Fiscal Year

The district sentenced 36 people in this group in fiscal years 2016 to 2019 and 9 in fiscal years 2020 to 2025. Fiscal year 2018 alone had 16 people, and 2019 had 12.

The table lists only some years. Entries marked "n/a" have no recorded median prison term. The records cannot show whether the drop in cases after 2019 reflects fewer offenses, fewer prosecutions, or other changes.

Fiscal yearPeople sentencedMedian prisonPleaded guilty
20163n/a3 of 3
20175n/a5 of 5
201816n/a100%
2019120.1 months100%
202040 months4 of 4
202240.4 months4 of 4
20241n/a1 of 1

What Cannot Be Learned From This Data

People whose cases were dismissed or who were acquitted are not counted, because the data covers only those convicted and sentenced. Prison terms are those imposed, not time served.

The records do not give the type or amount of drug in any case, so they cannot explain why most people received probation and a fine.

How We Counted

Everyone sentenced in federal court in the Middle District of Tennessee (U.S. Sentencing Commission district label "Tennessee Mid") in fiscal years 2016 to 2025 whose offense type was "Drug Possession" (45). Offense types are the Commission's OFFGUIDE categories.

Federal fiscal years run from October 1 to September 30. No person, judge, or lawyer is identified in any of these records.

What to Keep in Mind

No parole in federal prison; credit for good conduct. Federal prison has no parole for crimes committed on or after November 1, 1987. A federal prisoner can earn up to 54 days of good conduct credit for each year of the sentence the judge imposed, which is about 15%. Some federal prisoners can also earn First Step Act time credits, but many offenses make a person ineligible. The numbers in this post are the sentences judges imposed, not the time people actually served.

Federal supervised release. Most federal prison sentences are followed by a term of supervised release that the judge sets as part of the sentence. A person who violates it can be sent back to prison. A court-martial cannot sentence anyone to supervision after release. Military parole and mandatory supervised release are decided later by a board, not by the judge at trial.

Who decides the sentence, and under what rules. Federal judges sentence every federal case. They must calculate the Sentencing Guidelines range, which is advisory, and must impose any mandatory minimum the statute requires unless an exception applies. In courts-martial, the accused could choose sentencing by members until the rules changed. For cases in which every guilty finding is for an offense committed after December 27, 2023, a military judge sentences alone, within sentencing parameters. Courts-martial tried in 2024 and later include both old-rule and new-rule cases, and the data cannot tell them apart.

Time periods. Federal numbers are by federal fiscal year (October 1 to September 30), based on the sentencing date. The military numbers are by trial date. Neither source has the date of the offense, so a change in law shows up in either data set gradually.

How life sentences and "time served" are counted. In the federal numbers, a life sentence is counted as 470 months, and any other sentence longer than 470 months is counted as just under 470 months. A sentence of "time served" is counted as one day (0.03 months). Averages are affected by these rules; medians much less.

About the author. Jocelyn C. Stewart is a retired Army JAG with more than 24 years of trying courts-martial and more than 200 jury trials. She hosts Where All The Bodies Are Buried and runs the Law Office of Jocelyn C. Stewart. This analysis is for education and information only. It is not legal advice, and every case is different.

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