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Understanding Trends

Federal Sentences in the Western District of Kentucky, FY2016–2025

In the Western District of Kentucky, 43% of sentences in fiscal years 2016 to 2025 were below the guideline range at the government's request, and 37% were within the range. For all 94 federal districts, 48% were within the range. The district sentenced 3,229 people, and the median prison term was 5

Understanding Trends in Military Practice · 6 min read

Trends › Federal Prosecution Analysis › Western District of Kentucky

In brief: In the Western District of Kentucky, 43% of sentences in fiscal years 2016 to 2025 were below the guideline range at the government's request, and 37% were within the range. For all 94 federal districts, 48% were within the range. The district sentenced 3,229 people, and the median prison term was 57 months (4.8 years).

Updated November 3, 2026 · Sources: U.S. Sentencing Commission and Federal Judicial Center, fiscal years 2016–2025

This post uses the U.S. Sentencing Commission's records of 3,229 people sentenced in federal court in fiscal years 2016 to 2025. Acquittals and dismissals come from a second source, the Federal Judicial Center's records of 753,808 federal defendants whose cases ended in fiscal years 2016 to 2025. It is part of the Federal Prosecution Analysis series, which builds on Military Moves Toward Sentencing Guidelines to Mirror the Federal System. How the numbers were built: How the Federal Comparison Data Was Built.

Government-Requested Sentences Below the Range

The Sentencing Guidelines set an advisory range of months for each federal case. Prosecutors can ask the court to go below that range, and judges can also go below it on their own. 3,226 sentences here had a recorded position.

Below the range at the government's request was the most common result: 1,379 sentences, or 43%. Within the range came next with 1,208 (37%). Below the range with no government request accounted for 591 (18%), and above the range for 48 (1%).

The records show the result, not the reason. They do not say what led prosecutors to ask for a lower sentence in any case.

Who Was Sent to Prison?

2,711 of the 3,229 people (84%) received a prison term. That is lower than the 91% for all districts. 461 (14%) received probation only, with no prison or other confinement.

Among those sent to prison, the median was 57 months. A quarter received 120 months or more, and a quarter received 22.5 months or less. 6 received a life sentence. A mandatory minimum prison term applied to 1,326 people. The terms are those imposed by the court, not the time served.

Offense Types in the District

Drug Trafficking was the largest group at 1,161 people (36%), with a median prison term of 84 months. Firearms followed at 637 (20%), with a median of 41 months. Fraud/Theft/Embezzlement accounted for 417 (13%) and Immigration for 222 (7%).

Sexual Abuse (113) and Child Pornography (94) were each 3% of the total. Child pornography (images of child exploitation) cases had a median prison term of 108 months. Sexual abuse cases had a median of 180 months.

Offense typePeople sentencedShare of districtMedian prisonPleaded guilty
Drug Trafficking1,16136%84 months98%
Firearms63720%41 months97%
Fraud/Theft/Embezzlement41713%21 months99%
Immigration2227%4.4 months99%
Sexual Abuse1133%180 months93%
Child Pornography943%108 months97%
Administration of Justice903%12 months99%
Other893%0.1 months98%

Pleas, Plea Agreements, and Trials

3,137 people (97%) pleaded guilty, the same rate as all districts. 92 were convicted after a trial.

Among guilty pleas, 92% were made under a written plea agreement, and 7% were straight pleas with no agreement.

After a guilty plea, the median prison term was 51 months. After a trial it was 144 months, based on 87 people convicted at trial and sent to prison. The trial group is small, and its charges may not match those of the plea group.

Supervision, Fines, and Restitution

2,636 people (82%) were ordered to serve supervised release after prison, with a median term of 36 months. 87 (3%) received supervised release for life.

A fine was ordered for 422 (13%), and restitution for 573 (18%). In criminal history, 37% were in category I and 19% in category VI, the highest category. Court-martial records have no criminal history field.

Fort Knox and the Federal Court

Fort Knox, Kentucky, is in this district and appears in this site's court-martial data. Courts-martial are tried in military courts, not in this federal district court, and the sentences counted here are civilian federal sentences.

Counts by Fiscal Year

The district sentenced 1,261 people in fiscal years 2016 to 2019 and 1,968 in fiscal years 2020 to 2025, which is a longer span. The yearly median prison term was 46 months in 2016, 70 months in 2021, and 60 months in each year from 2022 to 2025.

These records cannot show why the yearly figures changed. They also leave out acquittals and dismissals, because the Commission counts only people who were convicted and sentenced.

Fiscal yearPeople sentencedMedian prisonPleaded guilty
201633246 months99%
201727748 months97%
201830342 months97%
201934946 months97%
202034758.5 months98%
202127670 months99%
202226360 months97%
202333760 months95%
202435760 months98%
202538860 months96%

How We Counted

Everyone sentenced in federal court in the Western District of Kentucky (U.S. Sentencing Commission district label "Kentucky West") in fiscal years 2016 to 2025 (3,229). Offense types are the Commission's OFFGUIDE categories.

Federal fiscal years run from October 1 to September 30. No person, judge, or lawyer is identified in any of these records.

What to Keep in Mind

No parole in federal prison; credit for good conduct. Federal prison has no parole for crimes committed on or after November 1, 1987. A federal prisoner can earn up to 54 days of good conduct credit for each year of the sentence the judge imposed, which is about 15%. Some federal prisoners can also earn First Step Act time credits, but many offenses make a person ineligible. The numbers in this post are the sentences judges imposed, not the time people actually served.

Federal supervised release. Most federal prison sentences are followed by a term of supervised release that the judge sets as part of the sentence. A person who violates it can be sent back to prison. A court-martial cannot sentence anyone to supervision after release. Military parole and mandatory supervised release are decided later by a board, not by the judge at trial.

Who decides the sentence, and under what rules. Federal judges sentence every federal case. They must calculate the Sentencing Guidelines range, which is advisory, and must impose any mandatory minimum the statute requires unless an exception applies. In courts-martial, the accused could choose sentencing by members until the rules changed. For cases in which every guilty finding is for an offense committed after December 27, 2023, a military judge sentences alone, within sentencing parameters. Courts-martial tried in 2024 and later include both old-rule and new-rule cases, and the data cannot tell them apart.

Time periods. Federal numbers are by federal fiscal year (October 1 to September 30), based on the sentencing date. The military numbers are by trial date. Neither source has the date of the offense, so a change in law shows up in either data set gradually.

How life sentences and "time served" are counted. In the federal numbers, a life sentence is counted as 470 months, and any other sentence longer than 470 months is counted as just under 470 months. A sentence of "time served" is counted as one day (0.03 months). Averages are affected by these rules; medians much less.

Mandatory minimum sentences. Many federal statutes on drugs, images of child exploitation, child sex abuse, and firearms carry mandatory minimum prison terms. The UCMJ has mandatory minimums only for a few offenses (a dishonorable discharge or dismissal for rape and sexual assault, and life for premeditated murder). Federal sentences for these offenses are partly set by Congress, not by the judge.

About the author. Jocelyn C. Stewart is a retired Army JAG with more than 24 years of trying courts-martial and more than 200 jury trials. She hosts Where All The Bodies Are Buried and runs the Law Office of Jocelyn C. Stewart. This analysis is for education and information only. It is not legal advice, and every case is different.

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