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Understanding Trends

Federal Sentences in the Central District of California, FY2016–2025

Federal judges in the Central District of California sentenced 9,958 people in fiscal years 2016 to 2025, and only 29% of those sentences were within the guideline range. Across all 94 federal districts, 48% were within the range. The district also had a large share of fraud, theft, and embezzlement

Understanding Trends in Military Practice · 7 min read

Trends › Federal Prosecution Analysis › Central District of California

In brief: Federal judges in the Central District of California sentenced 9,958 people in fiscal years 2016 to 2025, and only 29% of those sentences were within the guideline range. Across all 94 federal districts, 48% were within the range. The district also had a large share of fraud, theft, and embezzlement cases (25%) and a median prison term of 37 months, compared with 24 months nationally.

Updated November 3, 2026 · Sources: U.S. Sentencing Commission and Federal Judicial Center, fiscal years 2016–2025

This post uses the U.S. Sentencing Commission's records of 9,958 people sentenced in federal court in fiscal years 2016 to 2025. Acquittals and dismissals come from a second source, the Federal Judicial Center's records of 753,808 federal defendants whose cases ended in fiscal years 2016 to 2025. It is part of the Federal Prosecution Analysis series, which builds on Military Moves Toward Sentencing Guidelines to Mirror the Federal System. How the numbers were built: How the Federal Comparison Data Was Built.

Few Sentences Within the Guideline Range

Each federal case gets a guideline range, a recommended span of months calculated under the federal sentencing guidelines. Of the 9,888 people in this district with that information, 2,901 (29%) received a sentence within it.

Most of the rest were below the range. 3,435 people (35%) were sentenced below it at the government's request. Another 3,395 (34%) were sentenced below it without a government request.

Sentences above the range were uncommon: 157 people, or 2%. The records show where a sentence fell against the range, not what the parties argued or why the judge chose it.

A Caseload With Many Fraud Cases

Drug trafficking was still the largest offense type, with 3,124 people sentenced (31%) and a median prison term of 63 months. Fraud, theft, and embezzlement came next with 2,512 people (25%). Their median prison term was 24 months.

Immigration accounted for 984 sentences (10%), and firearms for 933 (9%). Money laundering (336 people) and robbery (304 people) each made up 3%.

Robbery had a median prison term of 72 months. Child pornography (images of child exploitation) cases numbered 235, with a median term of 60 months.

Offense typePeople sentencedShare of districtMedian prisonPleaded guilty
Drug Trafficking3,12431%63 months96%
Fraud/Theft/Embezzlement2,51225%24 months95%
Immigration98410%15 months98%
Firearms9339%33 months95%
Money Laundering3363%30 months84%
Robbery3043%72 months92%
Child Pornography2352%60 months96%
Tax1942%15 months94%

Prison, Probation, and Term Length

A prison term was ordered for 8,501 of the 9,958 people, or 85%. That share is lower than the 91% for all districts. Probation only, with no prison or other confinement, was ordered for 1,017 people (10%).

For those sent to prison, the median term was 37 months (3.1 years). A quarter of them received 72 months or more, and a quarter received 15 months or less. 18 people were sentenced to life.

A mandatory minimum prison term, a floor set by statute, applied to 3,345 people (35%).

How Did Cases Reach Sentencing?

Of the 9,958 people, 9,425 (95%) pleaded guilty and 533 were convicted after a trial. The national guilty plea rate was 97%.

After a guilty plea, the median prison term was 36 months. After a trial, it was 70 months, based on 510 people convicted at trial and sent to prison. Plea agreements were in writing for 90% of guilty pleas, and 9% were straight pleas with no agreement.

The Sentencing Commission counts only people who were convicted and sentenced. People acquitted at trial and cases that were dismissed are not included.

Other Parts of the Sentence

Restitution was ordered for 2,882 people (29%), and a fine for 827 (8%). Supervised release after prison was ordered for 8,314 (83%), with a median term of 36 months. 181 people (2%) received supervised release for life.

Category I, the lowest criminal history category, included 45% of those sentenced. Category VI, the highest, included 17%. Court-martial records have no criminal history field.

Year-by-Year Counts

Federal fiscal years run from October 1 to September 30. The district sentenced 4,234 people in fiscal years 2016 to 2019 and 5,724 in fiscal years 2020 to 2025. The yearly table lists each fiscal year's count, median prison term, and guilty plea rate.

Fiscal yearPeople sentencedMedian prisonPleaded guilty
201696437 months94%
20171,01736 months93%
20181,11032.5 months95%
20191,14334 months94%
202091836 months96%
202187636 months98%
20221,12841 months95%
202394441 months94%
202492646 months95%
202593236 months94%

Installations in the District and the Limits of the Data

Fort Irwin, Twentynine Palms, and Vandenberg SFB are in this district and appear in this site's court-martial data. Their courts-martial are tried in military courts, not in this district court, and are not counted here.

Prison terms in these records are the terms imposed, not time served. The data also cannot show how cases were chosen for federal prosecution or what happened to people who were never convicted.

How We Counted

Everyone sentenced in federal court in the Central District of California (U.S. Sentencing Commission district label "California Central") in fiscal years 2016 to 2025 (9,958). Offense types are the Commission's OFFGUIDE categories.

Federal fiscal years run from October 1 to September 30. No person, judge, or lawyer is identified in any of these records.

What to Keep in Mind

No parole in federal prison; credit for good conduct. Federal prison has no parole for crimes committed on or after November 1, 1987. A federal prisoner can earn up to 54 days of good conduct credit for each year of the sentence the judge imposed, which is about 15%. Some federal prisoners can also earn First Step Act time credits, but many offenses make a person ineligible. The numbers in this post are the sentences judges imposed, not the time people actually served.

Federal supervised release. Most federal prison sentences are followed by a term of supervised release that the judge sets as part of the sentence. A person who violates it can be sent back to prison. A court-martial cannot sentence anyone to supervision after release. Military parole and mandatory supervised release are decided later by a board, not by the judge at trial.

Who decides the sentence, and under what rules. Federal judges sentence every federal case. They must calculate the Sentencing Guidelines range, which is advisory, and must impose any mandatory minimum the statute requires unless an exception applies. In courts-martial, the accused could choose sentencing by members until the rules changed. For cases in which every guilty finding is for an offense committed after December 27, 2023, a military judge sentences alone, within sentencing parameters. Courts-martial tried in 2024 and later include both old-rule and new-rule cases, and the data cannot tell them apart.

Time periods. Federal numbers are by federal fiscal year (October 1 to September 30), based on the sentencing date. The military numbers are by trial date. Neither source has the date of the offense, so a change in law shows up in either data set gradually.

How life sentences and "time served" are counted. In the federal numbers, a life sentence is counted as 470 months, and any other sentence longer than 470 months is counted as just under 470 months. A sentence of "time served" is counted as one day (0.03 months). Averages are affected by these rules; medians much less.

Mandatory minimum sentences. Many federal statutes on drugs, images of child exploitation, child sex abuse, and firearms carry mandatory minimum prison terms. The UCMJ has mandatory minimums only for a few offenses (a dishonorable discharge or dismissal for rape and sexual assault, and life for premeditated murder). Federal sentences for these offenses are partly set by Congress, not by the judge.

About the author. Jocelyn C. Stewart is a retired Army JAG with more than 24 years of trying courts-martial and more than 200 jury trials. She hosts Where All The Bodies Are Buried and runs the Law Office of Jocelyn C. Stewart. This analysis is for education and information only. It is not legal advice, and every case is different.

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